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Carrying the Energy Future
Comparing Hydrogen and Electricity for Transmission, Storage and Transportation
by Patrick Mazza and Roel Hammerschlag
Proposals
to construct a new hydrogen
energy system on the scale of
the power grid are coming to the
forefront. U.S. costs alone are estimated
at $200 billion-$500 billion.
Such vast investment implies other
energy pathways not taken, with
ramifications for crucial issues including
climate change and energy
security. The envisioned hydrogen
system must be considered in the
larger context.
The keystone to understanding the
proposed system is that hydrogen
is an energy carrier, not an energy
source. As with the only other commonplace
energy carrier, electricity,
hydrogen must be made. Almost
all hydrogen on Earth is trapped in
bonds with other elements which
must be broken to make hydrogen
an energy carrier. This requires
energy.
Sustainable energy visionaries have
long foreseen electrical generation
by wind, sun or other renewable
sources as the perfect source for
this energy. The electricity feeds an
electrolyzer which uses current to
break hydrogen from oxygen in
water. Electricity is later recovered
when those two elements re-join in
electrochemical reactions on the
electrode of a fuel cell.
Since President George Bush announced
his hydrogen car initiative
in 2003, many environmentalists
have perceived a hidden agenda to
instead promote H2 derived from
fossil and nuclear energy. Indeed,
95% of hydrogen produced for
merchant markets today is derived
from heating natural gas, while coal
gasification with deep geologic storage
of carbon is under exploration
as a future source. A new generation
of nuclear reactors capable of
generating temperatures high
enough to break water's bonds is
also envisaged.
An electrical and transportation system
based on renewable hydrogen
(ReH2) is an attractive prospect. Renewable
generation is theoretically
limitless. It would not be subject to
supply constraints facing natural gas.
Unlike coal it would not require
mining or risk carbon leakage into
the atmosphere. It would face none
of nuclear energy's waste disposal
or safety issues.
But in the real world limits prevail.
A critical question is how to leverage
limited renewable resources for
maximum environmental benefit,
in particular for reduction of carbon
dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil
fuel burning that are the leading
cause of global warming. Using
renewable electricity to generate
hydrogen would reduce global warming
emissions. But other uses of the
renewable energy can reduce emissions
much more, while technologies
that employ electricity directly provide
greater end use benefits than H2
technologies.
A transparent means to understand
relative benefits of hydrogen and
electricity is energy efficiency analysis.
It clarifies how much useful work
is derived from equivalent amounts
of energy. Energy efficiency is also a
more appropriate measure than economics
when exploring longer term
pictures. Economic projections tend
to be subject to a greater degree of
flux and uncertainty.
Renewable Hydrogen:
Difficulties in the Dream
ReH2 is envisioned as a means
to transmit remote renewable
resources to distant markets. A
recent analysis of a commonly cited
prospect, Great Plains wind fields,
revealed hydrogen's significant
disadvantages. The study compared
transmission of 4,000 megawatts
of wind generation to Chicago via
H2 pipelines or high voltage direct
current lines.
Line loss is 8%. Pipeline energy
consumption is 12%, a relative
wash. But hydrogen requires additional
conversion steps. Electrolysis
consumes 10-15% of the original
electricity. Re-converting H2 to
electricity takes 30-40% of remaining
energy. Taking all penalties into
account, only 45-55% of original
energy remains compared to 92%
if transmitted as electricity. Wind energy
sent as electricity provides
roughly twice the end use benefits as
wind energy delivered as H2.
Localized hydrogen generation is
posed by others, to overcome hurdles
of deploying a massive H2 pipeline
infrastructure. Electricity sent over
wires runs hydrogen fueling station
electrolyzers. Yet this scenario faces
similar penalties. A highway hydrogen
fueling station handling 2,000 cars per
day requires 3,500 gigajoules (GJ) of
energy delivered as H2. Smaller
electrolyzers, with only 80% efficiency,
need 4,400 GJ of source electricity to
make the H2. Pumping water to the
electrolyzer draws 130 GJ and H2 compression
takes 530 GJ. Total station
energy use is 5,100 GJ. Average line
loss of 10% brings source energy requirements
to 5,600 GJ. By the time that
energy reaches the fuel tank, only 63%
remains. With 60% fuel cell engine efficiency,
only 38% of the original energy
is available to run the vehicle. The
power load to fuel 2,000 cars is similar
to that of the tallest skyscrapers or most
sprawling institutional campuses. Widespread
local H2 production would require
a massive expansion of the power grid.
ReH2 energy penalties are well understood
by hydrogen economy proponents.
Nonetheless, hydrogen remains on the
table because it is viewed as capable
of providing services where direct
electricity is seen as falling short - transportation
and energy storage. But the
electrical carrier medium offers competitive
options.
Energy Storage:
Hydrogen vs. Other Options
The electric grid is synchronized to
generate power as it is used. Making
intermittent renewables such as wind
and sunlight available on demand will
require energy storage. Hydrogen is only
one of the options. Others at or near
commercialization include:
Conventional batteries - Advanced options include
lithium-ion (Li-ion) and liquid (molten) sulfur batteries.
Flow batteries - Based on liquid salt solutions,
two types are closing in on commercialization, vanadium redox and
zinc bromide.
Compressed air energy storage (CAES) - Air is
pressurized and pumped into underground geological structures. Energy
is recovered when compressed air is fed through a gas turbine, dramatically
increasing turbine efficiency.
Pumped hydro - Water is pumped to a higher reservoir
when energy is generated and run through a hydroelectric plant into
a lower reservoir - With 90 gigawatts of capacity worldwide, the
oldest and most deployed storage technology.
The accompanying table compares
these options to hydrogen, giving H2
very generous assumptions of 90%
electrolyzer efficiency, compression efficiency
of 92% at 350 bar and 60% fuel
cell efficiency. Combined heat and
power (CHP) increases hydrogen cycle
efficiencies using waste heat from the
fuel cell.
Envision two wind farms. One 100-turbine
operation stores energy at 75%
efficiency using conventional technology.
The second, which uses H2 storage at
47% efficiency, would need 160 turbines
to provide the end-use energy of the
first. Other storage options deliver far
more of the economic and environmental
benefits of intermittent renewables
than H2.
Future Cars:
Electricity Might Beat Hydrogen
H2 energy inefficiencies and a
costly new infrastructure might be acceptable in the context of
climate change, petroleum supply stress and national security
concerns. All indicate the need for a new vehicle fuel. H2
is seen as a natural successor to petroleum, and fuel cell vehicles
(FCVs) the replacement for internal combustion technology. Another
option is carbon-emissions-free electricity to propel battery
electric vehicles (EVs).
The relative inefficiencies of H2 vis-à-vis
direct electricity detailed in earlier
sections play out in vehicle technology,
as detailed in the accompanying chart
comparing relative losses along the
fuel chain. In effect, using electricity
directly rather than converting it into H2
yields twice the miles per kilowatt hour.
Yet conventional wisdom has it that the
EV is a technological dead-end
hobbled by limited range and extended
recharging times. Recent EV market
development efforts have met only limited
success. But advanced battery
technologies could change the picture.
EVs might meet the needs of a more
substantial share of the market than is
commonly understood.
Lithium ion batteries developed for
portable electronics are now the favored
advanced EV technology.
Commercial Li-ion battery packs can
store electricity at an energy density
about six times greater than conventional
lead acid batteries. A Li-ion
battery can be expected to retain over
90% of its capacity after 500 full discharges.
Battery life in typical driving
could approach 10 years. Argonne National
Laboratory projects an EV mean
range of 360 kilometers (km) by 2020,
with polymer lithium ion batteries the
prevailing choice.
High-range advanced technology EV
prototypes are already emerging.
Electrovaya, which markets polymer
Li-ion laptop batteries, uses the technology
in its Maya-100 EV claiming a
range of 360 km. It plans commercial
production as the Maya-200. The 2003
Michelin Challenge Bibendum verified
a 390-km range for AC Propulsion's
Li-ion tzero sports car.
To make Li-ion EVs commercially viable
costs must drop by a factor of
three. Yet at least a tenfold reduction
will be required for fuel cells. Batteries
outcompete hydrogen in price, safety,
calendar life and gross material availability.
On cycle life, recyclability and
toxicity, fuel cells do not show decidedly
superior performance. A chart comparing
all these aspects is available on pages
23-24 of the full report.
One developing option that can take
advantage of EV efficiencies without
range and charge time limitations, at
or near market competitiveness today,
is the plug-in hybrid electric vehicle
(PHEV). Hybrids on the market today
run much of the time on electric drive.
Their large batteries are kept charged by
small, on-board engines. PHEVs have
even larger batteries that draw charge
from both an on-board engine and, like
a pure EV, from the power grid.
A PHEV with a nickel metal hydride
battery, used in hybrids today, could go
up to 100 km on grid power before the
charging engine is needed. Driven a
U.S. average number of miles each day
over a 160,000 km lifetime, the PHEV
would burn around 2,500 liters of gasoline,
compared to 11,000 for an HEV
without plug-in capacity or 15,000 liters
for a conventional vehicle. Charged
nightly with electricity generated in a
typical new, natural-gas plant, the PHEV
reduces lifecycle CO2 emissions 60%.
Lifetime expenses would be $2,500
more than the conventional vehicle.
With a 32 km battery range PHEV
lifetime costs would be $1,200 less.
PHEVs fueled with bioethanol could run
free of global warming emissions. Made
from cellulose, the stuff of most plant
matter, bioethanol offers zero net
carbon emissions and far larger potential
feedstocks than today's starch-based
ethanol. Running the U.S. vehicle fleet
entirely on bioethanol could require
around 110,000 square kilometers,
well within the scope of the farmland
Conservation Reserve. A comparable
fleet of highly efficient PHEVs would require
even less territory.
Crucial distinctions must be made
between hydrogen and fuel cells, and
between vehicle and building applications.
While an H2 fuel system is
hindered by multiple inefficiencies, fuel
cells can be important components in
highly efficient systems that convert
biofuels or fossil fuels to electricity. Fuel
cells can operate as stationary electrical
generators, potentially at significantly
higher efficiencies than central power
stations or other distributed generators.
Emergence of a substantial fuel cell
market is in no way conditioned on
mass application in vehicles or development
of an H2 network.
Directing Energy for
Greatest Climate Benefit
The world's most authoritative body of climate scientists
concludes that 55-85% reductions in greenhouse gases are necessary
to stabilize atmospheric concentrations. It is crucial that renewables
are utilized to greatest effect. But, as seen in the top bar graph
below, CO2 reductions from applying renewable electricity
to hydrogen manufacture fall far short of the CO2 reductions
from applying renewable energy in other ways.
The graph compares technology options
reasonably expected to prevail within
the timeframe ReH2 might become
generally available: natural gas combined
cycle turbines (CCTs), integrated
gasification combined cycle (IGCC) coal
plants, and cars which run the equivalent
of 50 miles per gallon of gasoline.
Displacing coal-fired electricity with new
renewables generates the greatest CO2
reductions. Clearly, priority for
renewables should be to avoid coal
power generation.
Because ReH2 faces significant economic
barriers, hydrogen derived from
natural gas is seen as a transition until
renewable energy becomes cheap and
abundant. But the bottom chart shows
that natural gas could eliminate significantly
more CO2 by displacing coal
power with CCTs. Another notable
result is that natural gas directed to
charging EVs cuts CO2 more than
the equivalent amount used to make
H2 fuel for FCVs.
Conclusion:
Finding Common Ground
In key roles envisioned for H2 as an
energy carrier - transmission of remote
renewable resources, storage
of intermittent renewables and vehicle
fuel - electricity offers more
energy efficient options that might
preclude mass-scale emergence of
H2 technologies. In selecting energy
pathways, the superior efficiencies of
the electrical carrier medium must
be taken into account when determining
how our limited renewable
electrical resources should be
allocated. Climate stabilization demands
we "get the most bang for the
buck" from renewables. Even when
renewable electricity becomes cheap
and abundant, land use and other
environmental impacts of major
renewables installations will continue
to exert limits.
At the same time, complementary
pathways could support hydrogen
and electricity. Potential common
ground includes:
Rapid expansion of renewables - If ReH2 is ever
to be feasible, it will require an abundance of low-cost renewable
generation.
Hybrid vehicle technology - Hybrid "big battery"
systems are being developed for fuel cells as well as internal combustion.
The new options all incorporate electric drive, so much complementary
development is possible.
Vehicle-to-grid applications - All "big battery"
cars could provide energy storage for the power grid. This will
require technologies to manage large numbers of energy storage and
generating devices, as well as economic models that provide car
owners with incentives to participate.
Biomass - Similar feedstocks are proposed to feed
production of both liquid biofuels and of hydrogen based on biological
processes. Development of biomass collection and cropping is of
general benefit.
The debate on hydrogen will continue,
but it need not preclude broad
cooperation to develop sustainable
energy technologies that serve
multiple agendas. The emergence
of climate change represents a
compelling call to undertake collaborative
efforts.
Avoiding catastrophic impacts on
the global atmosphere will require
immense quantities of carbon-free
energy. The difficulties of supplying
sufficient amounts will only intensify
with rising populations and standards
of living. This is the essential context
in which the future roles of hydrogen
and electricity must be explored if
humanity is to meet the critical challenges
facing it this century.
To
download the full report as a PDF file, click here.
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